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From page 111... ... D-1 A p p e n d i x d A key challenge to addressing uncertainty in DDFSs is the level of resources required to first prepare and then apply each DDFS. This makes many traditional methods of evaluating uncertainty (alternative scenarios, sensitivity tests, Monte Carlo analyses applied directly to DDFSs) Read the entire page →
From page 112... ... D-2 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Continuing with the example, the large-hub row in Table D.1 indicates that there is a 98 percent chance that there will be at least 90 future peak hour operations (96 × 94 percent = 90) Read the entire page →
From page 113... ... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-3 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 92% 93% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 107% 108% Medium Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Small Hubs 81% 84% 88% 94% 100% 106% 112% 116% 119% Non Hubs 70% 75% 81% 90% 100% 110% 119% 125% 130% Large Hubs 91% 92% 94% 97% 100% 103% 106% 108% 109% Medium Hubs 86% 88% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 112% 114% Small Hubs 81% 85% 88% 94% 100% 106% 112% 115% 119% Non Hubs 65% 71% 77% 88% 100% 112% 123% 129% 135% Large Hubs 86% 88% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 112% 114% Medium Hubs 80% 84% 87% 93% 100% 107% 113% 116% 120% Small Hubs 83% 85% 89% 94% 100% 106% 111% 115% 117% Non Hubs 72% 77% 82% 91% 100% 109% 118% 123% 128% Peak 30Minute Aircraft Departures Variation in Peak 30Minute Operations by Confidence Interval Peak 30Minute Aircraft Operations Peak 30Minute Aircra Arrivals Table D.2. Peak 30 minute operations by confidence interval. Read the entire page →
From page 114... ... D-4 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 92% 93% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 107% 108% Medium Hubs 90% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 110% Small Hubs 85% 87% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 113% 115% Non Hubs 77% 81% 85% 92% 100% 108% 115% 119% 123% Large Hubs 92% 94% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 106% 108% Medium Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Small Hubs 81% 85% 88% 94% 100% 106% 112% 115% 119% Non Hubs 66% 71% 78% 88% 100% 112% 122% 129% 134% Large Hubs 93% 94% 95% 98% 100% 102% 105% 106% 107% Medium Hubs 88% 90% 92% 96% 100% 104% 108% 110% 112% Small Hubs 89% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 111% Non Hubs 83% 86% 89% 94% 100% 106% 111% 114% 117% Peak Hour Scheduled Seat Departures Variation in Peak Hour Scheduled Seats by Confidence Interval Peak Hour Scheduled Seats Peak Hour Scheduled Seat Arrivals Table D.4. Peak hour scheduled seats by confidence interval. Read the entire page →
From page 115... ... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-5 they can serve as proxy for passenger distributions. Empirical data on passenger peaks are generally not available, and therefore cannot be used to directly estimate peak hour passenger distributions. Read the entire page →
From page 116... ... D-6 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules limited to the first and last flight of the day to markets in which the number of daily flights did not change. Flight times to markets where the number of flights do change are likely to vary more significantly. Read the entire page →
From page 117... ... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-7 First the ranges include month-by-month variation in addition to year-by-year variation. If a future DDFS is based on a peak month that doesn't change, a more appropriate confidence interval would be based on data from just that month, which would be expected to exhibit less variation. Read the entire page →
From page 118... ... D-8 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Terminal and Landside Analysis Tables D.12 through D.19 show how the terminal and landside facility requirements are likely to vary depending on the confidence intervals developed earlier in this appendix. Table D.12 provides the confidence intervals for ticket position counters for large, medium, small, and non-hub airports. Read the entire page →
From page 119... ... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-9 Example Requirement 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Medium Hubs 79% 82% 86% 93% 100% 107% 114% 118% 121% Small Hubs 80% 83% 87% 93% 100% 107% 113% 117% 120% Non Hubs 69% 74% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 126% 131% Sample Kiosk Requirements Large Hubs 20 17 18 18 19 20 21 22 22 23 Medium Hubs 12 9 10 10 11 12 13 14 14 15 Small Hubs 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 Non Hubs 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 Note: Based on peak 30minute originations. Sources: Table D.5. Read the entire page →
From page 120... ... D-10 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Example Requirement (square feet) 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 93% 94% 95% 98% 100% 102% 105% 106% 107% Medium Hubs 88% 90% 92% 96% 100% 104% 108% 110% 112% Small Hubs 89% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 111% Non Hubs 83% 86% 89% 94% 100% 106% 111% 114% 117% Sample Baggage Screening Space Requirements Large Hubs 10000 9,265 9,387 9,525 9,751 10,000 10,249 10,475 10,613 10,735 Medium Hubs 6000 5,297 5,413 5,545 5,762 6,000 6,238 6,455 6,587 6,704 Small Hubs 3000 2,669 2,724 2,786 2,888 3,000 3,112 3,214 3,276 3,331 Non Hubs 1500 1,245 1,287 1,335 1,414 1,500 1,586 1,665 1,713 1,755 Note: Based on peak 60minute originations. Read the entire page →
From page 121... ... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-11 Example Requirement (square feet) 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Medium Hubs 79% 82% 86% 93% 100% 107% 114% 118% 121% Small Hubs 80% 83% 87% 93% 100% 107% 113% 117% 120% Non Hubs 69% 74% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 126% 131% Sample Required Screening lanes Large Hubs 10000 8,662 8,883 9,134 9,547 10,000 10,453 10,866 11,117 11,338 Medium Hubs 7000 5,505 5,753 6,033 6,494 7,000 7,506 7,967 8,247 8,495 Small Hubs 3000 2,398 2,497 2,610 2,796 3,000 3,204 3,390 3,503 3,602 Non Hubs 2000 1,381 1,483 1,600 1,791 2,000 2,209 2,400 2,517 2,619 Note: Based on peak 30minute originations. Read the entire page →
From page 122... ... D-12 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Example Requirement (length in feet) 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 92% 93% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 107% 108% Medium Hubs 90% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 110% Small Hubs 85% 87% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 113% 115% Non Hubs 77% 81% 85% 92% 100% 108% 115% 119% 123% Sample Curbside Requirement Large Hubs 3000 2,754 2,795 2,841 2,917 3,000 3,083 3,159 3,205 3,246 Medium Hubs 1500 1,343 1,369 1,398 1,447 1,500 1,553 1,602 1,631 1,657 Small Hubs 1000 850 875 903 949 1,000 1,051 1,097 1,125 1,150 Non Hubs 500 384 403 425 461 500 539 575 597 616 Note: Based on peak 60 minute originaons and terminaons. Read the entire page →

From page 111...

... D-1 A p p e n d i x d A key challenge to addressing uncertainty in DDFSs is the level of resources required to first prepare and then apply each DDFS. This makes many traditional methods of evaluating uncertainty (alternative scenarios, sensitivity tests, Monte Carlo analyses applied directly to DDFSs)

Read the entire page →

From page 112...

... D-2 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Continuing with the example, the large-hub row in Table D.1 indicates that there is a 98 percent chance that there will be at least 90 future peak hour operations (96 × 94 percent = 90)

Read the entire page →

From page 113...

... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-3 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 92% 93% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 107% 108% Medium Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Small Hubs 81% 84% 88% 94% 100% 106% 112% 116% 119% Non Hubs 70% 75% 81% 90% 100% 110% 119% 125% 130% Large Hubs 91% 92% 94% 97% 100% 103% 106% 108% 109% Medium Hubs 86% 88% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 112% 114% Small Hubs 81% 85% 88% 94% 100% 106% 112% 115% 119% Non Hubs 65% 71% 77% 88% 100% 112% 123% 129% 135% Large Hubs 86% 88% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 112% 114% Medium Hubs 80% 84% 87% 93% 100% 107% 113% 116% 120% Small Hubs 83% 85% 89% 94% 100% 106% 111% 115% 117% Non Hubs 72% 77% 82% 91% 100% 109% 118% 123% 128% Peak 30Minute Aircraft Departures Variation in Peak 30Minute Operations by Confidence Interval Peak 30Minute Aircraft Operations Peak 30Minute Aircra Arrivals Table D.2. Peak 30 minute operations by confidence interval.

Read the entire page →

From page 114...

... D-4 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 92% 93% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 107% 108% Medium Hubs 90% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 110% Small Hubs 85% 87% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 113% 115% Non Hubs 77% 81% 85% 92% 100% 108% 115% 119% 123% Large Hubs 92% 94% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 106% 108% Medium Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Small Hubs 81% 85% 88% 94% 100% 106% 112% 115% 119% Non Hubs 66% 71% 78% 88% 100% 112% 122% 129% 134% Large Hubs 93% 94% 95% 98% 100% 102% 105% 106% 107% Medium Hubs 88% 90% 92% 96% 100% 104% 108% 110% 112% Small Hubs 89% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 111% Non Hubs 83% 86% 89% 94% 100% 106% 111% 114% 117% Peak Hour Scheduled Seat Departures Variation in Peak Hour Scheduled Seats by Confidence Interval Peak Hour Scheduled Seats Peak Hour Scheduled Seat Arrivals Table D.4. Peak hour scheduled seats by confidence interval.

Read the entire page →

From page 115...

... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-5 they can serve as proxy for passenger distributions. Empirical data on passenger peaks are generally not available, and therefore cannot be used to directly estimate peak hour passenger distributions.

Read the entire page →

From page 116...

... D-6 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules limited to the first and last flight of the day to markets in which the number of daily flights did not change. Flight times to markets where the number of flights do change are likely to vary more significantly.

Read the entire page →

From page 117...

... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-7 First the ranges include month-by-month variation in addition to year-by-year variation. If a future DDFS is based on a peak month that doesn't change, a more appropriate confidence interval would be based on data from just that month, which would be expected to exhibit less variation.

Read the entire page →

From page 118...

... D-8 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Terminal and Landside Analysis Tables D.12 through D.19 show how the terminal and landside facility requirements are likely to vary depending on the confidence intervals developed earlier in this appendix. Table D.12 provides the confidence intervals for ticket position counters for large, medium, small, and non-hub airports.

Read the entire page →

From page 119...

... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-9 Example Requirement 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Medium Hubs 79% 82% 86% 93% 100% 107% 114% 118% 121% Small Hubs 80% 83% 87% 93% 100% 107% 113% 117% 120% Non Hubs 69% 74% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 126% 131% Sample Kiosk Requirements Large Hubs 20 17 18 18 19 20 21 22 22 23 Medium Hubs 12 9 10 10 11 12 13 14 14 15 Small Hubs 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 Non Hubs 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 Note: Based on peak 30minute originations. Sources: Table D.5.

Read the entire page →

From page 120...

... D-10 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Example Requirement (square feet) 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 93% 94% 95% 98% 100% 102% 105% 106% 107% Medium Hubs 88% 90% 92% 96% 100% 104% 108% 110% 112% Small Hubs 89% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 111% Non Hubs 83% 86% 89% 94% 100% 106% 111% 114% 117% Sample Baggage Screening Space Requirements Large Hubs 10000 9,265 9,387 9,525 9,751 10,000 10,249 10,475 10,613 10,735 Medium Hubs 6000 5,297 5,413 5,545 5,762 6,000 6,238 6,455 6,587 6,704 Small Hubs 3000 2,669 2,724 2,786 2,888 3,000 3,112 3,214 3,276 3,331 Non Hubs 1500 1,245 1,287 1,335 1,414 1,500 1,586 1,665 1,713 1,755 Note: Based on peak 60minute originations.

Read the entire page →

From page 121...

... Confidence intervals for ddFS elements D-11 Example Requirement (square feet) 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 87% 89% 91% 95% 100% 105% 109% 111% 113% Medium Hubs 79% 82% 86% 93% 100% 107% 114% 118% 121% Small Hubs 80% 83% 87% 93% 100% 107% 113% 117% 120% Non Hubs 69% 74% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 126% 131% Sample Required Screening lanes Large Hubs 10000 8,662 8,883 9,134 9,547 10,000 10,453 10,866 11,117 11,338 Medium Hubs 7000 5,505 5,753 6,033 6,494 7,000 7,506 7,967 8,247 8,495 Small Hubs 3000 2,398 2,497 2,610 2,796 3,000 3,204 3,390 3,503 3,602 Non Hubs 2000 1,381 1,483 1,600 1,791 2,000 2,209 2,400 2,517 2,619 Note: Based on peak 30minute originations.

Read the entire page →

From page 122...

... D-12 Guidebook for preparing and Using Airport design day Flight Schedules Example Requirement (length in feet) 98% 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% 2% Large Hubs 92% 93% 95% 97% 100% 103% 105% 107% 108% Medium Hubs 90% 91% 93% 96% 100% 104% 107% 109% 110% Small Hubs 85% 87% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 113% 115% Non Hubs 77% 81% 85% 92% 100% 108% 115% 119% 123% Sample Curbside Requirement Large Hubs 3000 2,754 2,795 2,841 2,917 3,000 3,083 3,159 3,205 3,246 Medium Hubs 1500 1,343 1,369 1,398 1,447 1,500 1,553 1,602 1,631 1,657 Small Hubs 1000 850 875 903 949 1,000 1,051 1,097 1,125 1,150 Non Hubs 500 384 403 425 461 500 539 575 597 616 Note: Based on peak 60 minute originaons and terminaons.

Read the entire page →

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