Method Selection for Travel Forecasting (2017) / Chapter Skim
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C-1 Requirements Reference a p p e n d i x c General ............................................................................................................................................... C-2 Short Description..........................................................................................................................
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C-2 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide GENERAL Short Description General requirements are those that planning agencies are obligated to fulfill, including regulatory requirements and analytical rigor expectations. Requirement Elements Analytical Rigor Regulation Requirement Elements for General Analytical Rigor Short Description Analytical rigor depicts the level of analysis expected for different levels of planning.
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Requirements Reference C-3 Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity)
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C-4 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression)
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Requirements Reference C-5 Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression)
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C-6 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Project Design Short Description Project design includes project-level preliminary design and engineering studies. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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Requirements Reference C-7 Regulation Short Description Regulation includes federal and state regulations that pertain to a planning agency. Requirements Federal Standards State Standards Requirements for Regulation Federal Standards Short Description Regulations in the United States concerning travel demand forecasting practices or methods.
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C-8 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide LEVEL OF DETAIL Short Description Precision within the travel forecasting modeling system. Requirement Elements Demographic Detail Geographic Area to be Studied Network Detail Spatial Detail Temporal Detail Requirement Elements for Level of Detail Demographic Detail Short Description Socioeconomic characteristics of the population to segment the market analysis.
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Requirements Reference C-9 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Production (Cross-classification)
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C-10 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Establishment Size Groups Short Description The number of employees working at a business establishment. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Parking Location Choice Trip Attraction (Regression)
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Requirements Reference C-11 Integrated Multiresolution Model Income Groups Short Description Categories of households by combined household member earnings. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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C-12 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression)
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Requirements Reference C-13 Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Geographic Area to Be Studied Short Description Geographic area to be studied comprises the area to be studied for the plan or program. Requirements City County Megaregion Region State Subarea or Corridor Requirements for Geographic Area to Be Studied City Short Description Jurisdictional boundaries for a city.
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C-14 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors)
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Requirements Reference C-15 Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity)
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C-16 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression)
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Requirements Reference C-17 Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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C-18 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide State Short Description Jurisdictional boundaries for a state. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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Requirements Reference C-19 Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Subarea or Corridor Short Description A study area smaller than a county or city, encompassing a neighborhood or corridor of interest. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Fixed Factors)
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C-20 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Network Detail Short Description Modal characteristics of the transportation system (e.g., lanes, routes, nonmotorized facilities)
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Requirements Reference C-21 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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C-22 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Pedestrian/Bike Facilities Short Description Transportation infrastructure for nonmotorized travel, including bike trails, pedestrian walkways, and bridges, among others. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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Requirements Reference C-23 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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C-24 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Turn Lanes/Auxiliary Lanes Short Description An auxiliary lane is the portion of the roadway adjoining the traveled way for speed change, turning, weaving, truck climbing, maneuvering of entering and leaving traffic, and other purposes supplementary to through-traffic movement. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Spatial Detail Short Description Precision of the geographic input and output data variables.
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Requirements Reference C-25 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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C-26 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Transit Pass Ownership Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Region Short Description Region includes metropolitan planning areas and urbanized areas.
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Requirements Reference C-27 Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Roadway Segment or Parcel Short Description Roadway segment or parcel is the finest level of detail representing an individual parcel or roadway segment in the analysis. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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C-28 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Route Short Description Path for travel by highway and transit modes. Methods Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Subregion Short Description A study area smaller than a region, but not following county or city boundaries.
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Requirements Reference C-29 Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Travel Analysis Zone Short Description A unit of analysis larger than a microzone and smaller than a jurisdiction or neighborhood. This is the most common unit of analysis for travel demand forecasting models.
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C-30 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors)
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Requirements Reference C-31 Time of Day (Disaggregate) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Schedule-based Transit Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors)
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C-32 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Trip Production (Cross-classification) Daily Short Description Average of 24-hour volumes.
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Requirements Reference C-33 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors)
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C-34 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Mode and Shipment Size Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Time Period Short Description Average volumes for multiple hours representing peak or off-peak periods.
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Requirements Reference C-35 Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression)
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C-36 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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Requirements Reference C-37 Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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C-38 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Mode and Shipment Size Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Sensitivities Short Description Input variables that can be changed to evaluate transportation impacts.
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Requirements Reference C-39 Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity)
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C-40 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Distribution (Gravity)
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Requirements Reference C-41 Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Household Socioeconomic Characteristics Short Description One or more socioeconomic characteristics, including the following: Household Size Number of Workers in Household Number of Adults in Household Number of Persons of Driving Age in Household Income Age of Head of Household Auto Ownership Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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C-42 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Transit Network Supply Short Description The routes, capacities, and schedules for passengers on bus, rail, ferry, or other transit modes of travel.
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Requirements Reference C-43 Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Travel Demand Management Policies Short Description Travel demand management policies include employer programs for carpool parking, transit or parking subsidies, walk or bike subsidies, and flexible work schedules, among others. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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C-44 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Traveler Demographics Short Description Includes traveler details such as driver's license, age, and employment status, among others.
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Requirements Reference C-45 Travel Purpose Short Description Travel purpose is the activity or purpose at the destination. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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C-46 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Supply Chain Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Travel Market Short Description Sources and types of travel within and through the study area.
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Requirements Reference C-47 Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors)
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C-48 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity)
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Requirements Reference C-49 Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Special Markets Short Description Passenger travel to convention centers, sports arenas, universities, or other attractions in a study area. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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