Method Selection for Travel Forecasting (2017) / Chapter Skim
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E-1 Resources Reference a p p e n d i x e Data .....................................................................................................................................................E-2 Short Description...........................................................................................................................E-2 Resources .....................................................................................................................................E-2 Resources for Data .......................................................................................................................E-2 Expertise ............................................................................................................................................E-13 Short Description.........................................................................................................................E-13 Resources ...................................................................................................................................E-13 Resources for Expertise ..............................................................................................................E-14 Hardware ...........................................................................................................................................E-19 Short Description.........................................................................................................................E-19 Resources ...................................................................................................................................E-19 Resources for Hardware .............................................................................................................E-19 Software.............................................................................................................................................E-21 Short Description.........................................................................................................................E-21 Resources ...................................................................................................................................E-21 Resources for Software...............................................................................................................E-21
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E-2 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide DATA Short Description Data are essential for travel forecasting; includes types of data required for estimation, calibration, validation, and forecasting. Resources Built Environment Data Census Commodity Flow Data Employment Data Establishment Survey Freight Rail/Intermodal Network Global Positioning System Surveys Highway Networks Household Travel Survey Intersection Configurations and Signal Timings Observed Origin-Destination Trip Table Parking Supply Inventory Pedestrian/Bike Counts Pedestrian/Bike Networks Sociodemographic Estimates Stated Preference Surveys Traffic Counts Traffic Speeds Transit Counts Transit Networks Transit On-Board Survey Truck Counts Truck Speeds Truck Surveys Resources for Data Built Environment Data Short Description Includes data on mixed use, density, pedestrian friendliness, bike friendliness, and (occasionally)
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Resources Reference E-3 Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Budget $10,000 Census Short Description These data are free and include the American Community Survey and the Public Use Microdata Sample, among others; data typically require some data processing before use. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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E-4 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Budget $25,000 Employment Data Short Description Includes data on the number of employees in an area by industry grouping (e.g., LEHD)
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Resources Reference E-5 Methods Commercial Vehicle Models Firm Synthesis Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Budget $220,000 Freight Rail/Intermodal Network Short Description Freight rail/intermodal network represents a network that supports pathfinding for rail/intermodal freight.
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E-6 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Highway Networks Short Description Highway networks represents linked and routable networks that include network attributes such as area type, facility type, lanes, speed, and capacity. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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Resources Reference E-7 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Budget $1,000,000 Intersection Configurations and Signal Timings Short Description Intersection configurations and signal timings includes detailed information on the presence (length)
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E-8 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Budget $50,000 Parking Supply Inventory Short Description Parking supply inventory is the inventory of the number and price of parking spaces. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Parking Location Choice Budget $100,000 Pedestrian/Bike Counts Short Description Pedestrian/bike counts includes observations of pedestrian or bicycle volumes on trails, sidewalks, or roads.
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Resources Reference E-9 Sociodemographic Estimates Short Description Sociodemographic estimates include household- and person-level demographic estimates at a regional or zonal level. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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E-10 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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Resources Reference E-11 Transit Counts Short Description Transit counts represents the volume of riders on public transportation modes by line for a specified period (e.g., hourly, daily)
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E-12 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Transit On-board Survey Short Description Transit on-board surveys are surveys of transit riders collected on board to understand mode of access/egress, origin and destination patterns, and demographic characteristics of riders. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate)
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Resources Reference E-13 Truck Speeds Short Description Truck speeds are observed speeds or travel times (minutes) converted to speeds for trucks on a link or trip basis.
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E-14 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Freight Background Limited Travel Forecasting Background Model Estimation Skills Standard Travel Forecasting Background Statistics Background Traffic Microsimulation Background Traffic Operations -- Highway Capacity Manual Resources for Expertise Advanced Travel Forecasting Background Short Description Includes webinars, online training, classes, and on-the-job training for staff. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)
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Resources Reference E-15 Dynamic Traffic Assignment Short Description Includes webinars, online training, classes, and on-the-job training for staff. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Intersection Delay Budget $35,000 Freight Background Short Description Includes webinars, online training, classes, and on-the-job training for staff.
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E-16 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Budget $15,000 Model Estimation Skills Short Description Model estimation skills includes webinars, online training, classes, and on-the-job training for staff. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Parking Location Choice Budget $35,000 Standard Travel Forecasting Background Short Description Standard travel forecasting background includes webinars, online training, classes, and on-thejob training for two staff.
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Resources Reference E-17 Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Time of Day (Fixed Factors)
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E-18 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity)
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Resources Reference E-19 Budget $25,000 HARDWARE Short Description Hardware is a computer that applies travel forecasting methods using specialized software. Resources High-performance Hardware Standard Hardware Resources for Hardware High-performance Hardware Short Description High-performance hardware includes 2–6 high-end personal computers and the cost can vary based on the exact number needed to distribute computing across the computers' processors.
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E-20 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors)
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Resources Reference E-21 Budget $20,000 SOFTWARE Short Description Software is a program that applies travel forecasting methods using a computer (hardware)
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E-22 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Budget $450,000 Dynamic Traffic Assignment Package Short Description Network-based software to simulate traffic dynamically. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Budget $45,000 Model Estimation Software Short Description Model estimation software includes software such as ALOGIT or Limdep; Biogeme is an opensource software option for model estimation.
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Resources Reference E-23 Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Software Short Description Pedestrian/bicycle simulation software is software that simulates pedestrian or bicycle travel. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Budget $45,000 Traffic Microsimulation Software Short Description Traffic microsimulation software simulates and reports movements of individual vehicles.
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E-24 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification)
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Abbreviations and acronyms used without definitions in TRB publications: A4A Airlines for America AAAE American Association of Airport Executives AASHO American Association of State Highway Officials AASHTO American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials ACI–NA Airports Council International–North America ACRP Airport Cooperative Research Program ADA Americans with Disabilities Act APTA American Public Transportation Association ASCE American Society of Civil Engineers ASME American Society of Mechanical Engineers ASTM American Society for Testing and Materials ATA American Trucking Associations CTAA Community Transportation Association of America CTBSSP Commercial Truck and Bus Safety Synthesis Program DHS Department of Homeland Security DOE Department of Energy EPA Environmental Protection Agency FAA Federal Aviation Administration FAST Fixing America's Surface Transportation Act (2015) FHWA Federal Highway Administration FMCSA Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration FRA Federal Railroad Administration FTA Federal Transit Administration HMCRP Hazardous Materials Cooperative Research Program IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers ISTEA Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act of 1991 ITE Institute of Transportation Engineers MAP-21 Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (2012)
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TRA N SPO RTATIO N RESEA RCH BO A RD 500 Fifth Street, N W W ashington, D C 20001 A D D RESS SERV ICE REQ U ESTED N O N -PR O FIT O R G .
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