Regional Ballistic Missile Defense in the Context of Strategic Stability (2021) / Chapter Skim
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1 Introduction
1 Introduction
Pages 7-16
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From page 7... ...
Antimissile systems have made significant progress over the last three decades, and yet they have offered an elusive promise of protection against strategic threat missiles because the effectiveness of defensive systems is limited against sophisticated ballistic missiles, especially in attacks involving large numbers of such missiles. However, as ballistic missile technology proliferates, and as ballistic missile defenses are deployed by both the Russian Federation and the United States, it becomes increasingly important for these two countries to seek ways to reap the benefits of systems that can protect against intermediate- and medium-range missile attacks from third countries without undermining the strategic balance that the two governments maintain to ensure stability.
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From page 8... ...
The joint committees were not asked to take into account political considerations; however, they do recognize that the state of the relationship between the United States and the Russian Federation evolves over time and is not currently conducive to new technical cooperation of the type analyzed in this report. The joint committees believe, however, that there will come a time when expanded cooperation on information sharing for regional ballistic missile defense will become politically feasible.
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From page 9... ...
For convenience throughout this report, the joint committees refer to such missiles as intermediate-range ballistic missiles (IRBMs)
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From page 10... ...
the JCPOA places no constraints on Iranian ballistic missile development, and Iran continues to develop them in violation of other United Nations Security Council resolutions; (2) although Iran has thus far demonstrated compliance with the JCPOA, its past behavior makes it difficult to be confident of its future compliance; (3)
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From page 11... ...
regional missile defense, which would include deployment of 10 interceptors in Poland, ballistic missile defense increasingly became a confrontational issue, with the Russian Federation strongly urging various alternatives to the planned U.S. deployment.16 The current phase began in 2009, when the United States concluded that the threat to its homeland had not emerged as rapidly as feared, however, as stated in the Introduction, the DPRK program has developed faster than predicted.
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From page 12... ...
BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE AND STRATEGIC STABILITY The joint committees' Statement of Task stated that they would conduct an examination of ballistic missile defense "in the context of strategic stability." During the Cold War, strategic stability was a reasonably well-understood term describing relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. The term had two elements: crisis (more precisely, first strike)
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From page 13... ...
Limited cooperation on defenses against IRBMs is not destabilizing because such defensive systems cannot preclude devastating retaliatory strikes by either the Russian Federation or the United States.28 Strategic stability may be analyzed in geopolitical terms, on a global level, or on a regional level. Far from being destabilizing, cooperation on ballistic missile defense may help improve *
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From page 14... ...
The joint committees limited the scope of the study to regional ballistic missile defense because under the INF Treaty, neither the United States nor the Russian Federation were permitted to possess such missiles. Thus, the information sharing proposed in the following chapters is relevant only to thirdcountry threats.
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From page 15... ...
INTRODUCTION 15 conditions improve, cooperation is unlikely. They believe, however, that the approach set forth in the following chapters is technically sound and, when conditions permit, its implementation would improve the security of both countries.
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Key Terms
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