Understanding Changes in Demographics, Preferences, and Markets for Public Transportation (2018) / Chapter Skim
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1 The future of public transportation in the United States will be influenced by a set of factors reflecting underlying demand and a set of factors reflecting supply. While much has been written about alternative possible services and prices (supply)
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2 Understanding Changes in Demographics, Preferences, and Markets for Public Transportation 7. TNCs will offer more competition to transit.
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Summary 3 Millennials are now predicted to decrease their transit use patterns as the cohort ages over the next two decades. Although millennials have delayed household formation as compared with past generations, most fully expect that as they age and start families, they will choose to move to the suburbs and will use transit less.
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4 Understanding Changes in Demographics, Preferences, and Markets for Public Transportation Transit Use by Residential Neighborhood Type The nature of neighborhoods has a strong impact on transit ridership; neighborhoods with higher density and more pedestrian-oriented design tend to support higher levels of transit services. The combination of such land use patterns and a higher level of transit service is referred to in this report as being "transit-oriented." The transit orientation of a residential neighborhood can be categorized by the extent to which it supports transit ridership, as demonstrated in the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's)
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Summary 5 group and the best-educated group combined, transit ridership would increase by 13%. In a future scenario based on the attitude sets of those older than 65 and those with no higher education, the model predicted that transit ridership would decrease by 8%.
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6 Understanding Changes in Demographics, Preferences, and Markets for Public Transportation formation of attitudes. This is particularly important for those under 35, who, this research found, are highly influenced by peer pressure and the opinions of those within their immediate social networks.
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