Updating Regional Transportation Planning and Modeling Tools to Address Impacts of Connected and Automated Vehicles, Volume 2: Guidance (2018) / Chapter Skim
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74 Communicating in an Uncertain Environment C H A P T E R 9 As the transportation planning industry strives to find ways to anticipate impacts under highly unstable conditions, planners and modelers are also challenged to communicate this uncertainty to senior decision makers and elected officials without the information appearing useless and without providing projections that appear more solid than they are. Billions of dollars of investments are at stake.
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Communicating in an Uncertain Environment 75 Planners, modelers, and leaders work inside this framework. Due to confirmation bias (a shortcut in the brain in which new information tends to be interpreted as confirmation of existing beliefs and habits)
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76 Updating Regional Transportation Planning and Modeling Tools to Address Impacts of Connected and Automated Vehicles • Has automotive companies positioning for a shifting auto ownership model and the growth of transportation network providers. Additionally, not all transportation investments carry equal risk.
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Communicating in an Uncertain Environment 77 Control: Where to Take Control Decision makers and policy makers can create control by adding flexibility to high-risk projects in the form of incremental decision points, thereby reducing the risk. At each decision point in the project development process [programming; start of the environmental process; and start of plan, specification, and estimate (PS&E)
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