Climate Resilience and Benefit–Cost Analysis: A Handbook for Airports (2019) / Chapter Skim
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Pages 83-88
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From page 83... ...
83 CMIP climate projections have been published and periodically updated over the past several years. Many of the projections are available on an annual or even daily basis for many years into the future.
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From page 84... ...
84 Climate Resilience and Benefit–Cost Analysis: A Handbook for Airports Data Collection Strategies for High Temperatures One of the primary objectives of this handbook is to present a methodology for evaluating the increasing occurrence of high temperatures that may force airlines to impose weight restrictions on takeoffs (or in extreme cases, cancel flights entirely)
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From page 85... ...
Accessing Available Climate Projections 85 Each row represents a unique model/year/grid-point combination, and the "H" columns represent counts of annual days at or above the indicated (Fahrenheit) temperature but below the next column's temperature.
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86 Climate Resilience and Benefit–Cost Analysis: A Handbook for Airports To dampen the influence of such models yet not exclude them completely, another possibility would be to randomly select (for each simulation) a model for each year of the analysis period.
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From page 87... ...
Accessing Available Climate Projections 87 plus the desired annual probability of occurrence. For example, using the parameters for Kings Point/Willets Point and setting p = 0.10 (implying a return period of 10 years)
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From page 88... ...
88 Climate Resilience and Benefit–Cost Analysis: A Handbook for Airports GMSL rise scenario were to occur, then in 2050, the local relative sea level rise for Willets Point would be projected as 41 cm (from Exhibit D-3) , and one could then add this increment directly to whatever extreme water level projection were shown from the curve in Exhibit D-2.26 As suggested earlier, the nature of the uncertainty associated with these projected flood events is different from the uncertainty related to the high temperature projections described previously.
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