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5 Workshop Three, Part One
Pages 54-71

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From page 54...
... . However, he remarked that if each technology area has its own senior leader who is trying to move a technology forward without communication and collaboration, both disconnection and damage could result.
From page 55...
... However, plans are in place for a USAF/U.S. Army experiment on the use of machine learning algorithms to determine best courses of action -- for example, shooting with artillery, bombing with an aircraft, creating a cyber effect from an aperture in the air or in space, or shooting a cruise missile from a submarine.
From page 56...
... The existing Counterair Doctrine integrates offense -- attack operations, suppression of enemy air defenses, fighter escort, fighter sweep -- and defense -- active and passive air and missile defense.4 He commented that a common structure among air, space, and cyber, including a shared lexicon, would enable speed. He initially proposed the Counterspace Doctrine, which similarly integrates offense -- attack operations, suppression of enemy space defenses, space escort, space sweep -- and defense -- active and passive space and missile defense.5 In November 2016, space policy began to change at the national level; the nation began to accept the risk of declaring its mission to control in space.
From page 57...
... Adapted from U.S. Air Force, Air Force Doctrine Publication 3-01: Counterair Operations, September 6, 2019.
From page 58...
... Adapted from U.S. Air Force, Air Force Doctrine Publication 3-01: Counterair Operations, September 6, 2019.
From page 59...
... Boyd's OODA loop, emphasizing the value of the "orient" stage. The United States has to know its adversary and itself, yet knowing does not require acting; sometimes it leads only to deciding and observing.
From page 60...
... Col. DeMaio responded that the intellectual capital of the LeMay Center is broken down into doctrine, concepts, and wargaming.
From page 61...
... ) , described a suite of cutting-edge technologies that could affect time cycles within the USAF and across DoD (see Figure 5.4)
From page 62...
... Dr. Lopata highlighted four categories of quantum technology: atomic clocks, quantum sensors, quantum computing, and quantum networking.
From page 63...
... The fourth category of quantum technology, quantum networks, offers the ability to transfer small packets of light from one place to another. Theoretical results show that it is possible to parallelize quantum computers as well as to improve telescopes through multi-aperture telescope interferometry with quantum communication on the back end.
From page 64...
... He thought that hardware technology companies could play a role and that DoD would continue to invest basic research in this area. In reference to the impact that quantum technologies could have on time cycles, Dr.
From page 65...
... Dr. Lopata replied that DoD has a tremendous amount of expertise in atomic clocks; it has fielded atomic clocks and is working speedily toward achieving the vision of what will be needed in systems over the next decade.
From page 66...
... Research issues for the future of human intention interpretation include having better ways for humans to interface with computers, modeling the task environment, creating better task specification protocols, verifying and monitoring protocols, and developing shared autonomy. Robust and reliable technology (via system design and assurance, and information and system security)
From page 67...
... However, he stated that there are some key issues to address through research in terms of technical capabilities, systems, mobilization and infrastructure, and application and domain-specific problems: Technical capability issues relate to autonomy and intelligent systems (i.e., explainable machine learning, sensor/ information fusion, situational awareness, and safe actions in uncertain situations) , human–machine communica tion (i.e., speech, natural language, haptics; augmented reality; trust between robot and human on shared tasks; and programmability by non-expert users)
From page 68...
... Image synthesis and video manipulation have both improved in performance each year owing to the entertainment industry as well as to general advances in machine learning. In principle, GANs can be used for several types of machine learning,
From page 69...
... Turek emphasized that time is a critical element of competition that spans the entire enterprise. Time relates to the ability to deploy a new fighter aircraft that can adapt to an adversary more quickly (via short OODA loops across the entire enterprise)
From page 70...
... Turek described this as an area worthy of further exploration by the AI community -- for example, core machine learning and core AI researchers could collaborate closely with people who understand human factors or cognitive psychology. Several years from now there could be a new AI career path that will incorporate those elements, he added.
From page 71...
... He also advised the National Academies to review the concept of a national technical intelligence center.


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