Recent Decline in Public Transportation Ridership: Hypotheses, Methodologies, and Detailed City-by-City Results (2022) / Chapter Skim
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B-1 Appendix B: Multi-City Evaluation Applied to New York Metro Area We applied the model to predict the contributions to ridership change for the New York MSA, which was not included in the model estimation or in the results reported previously. Between 2012 and 2018, the model estimates New York bus ridership to decrease 9.5% due to ridehailing, 6.7% due to higher fares, and 3.2% due to lower gas prices, with the remaining factors contributing no more than 1.2% each to bus ridership change.
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B-2 Table B-1: New York - Northern New Jersey - Long Island, NY-NJ-PA Metro Area-Bus Factors Affecting Change Average Values Ridership Effect Description Transf. 2012 2018 % Diff % Diff Vehicle Revenue Miles Log 227,959,424 230,662,402 1.2% 0.5% Average Fare (2018$)
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B-3 Figure B-1: New York - Northern New Jersey - Long Island, NY-NJ-PA Metro Area-Bus
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B-4 Figure B-2: New York - Northern New Jersey - Long Island, NY-NJ-PA Metro Area-Rail
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