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Appendix C: Opportunities and Challenges for Digital Twins in Atmospheric and Climate Sciences: Proceedings of a Workshop - in Brief
Pages 135-148

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From page 135...
... C Opportunities and Challenges for Digital Twins in Atmospheric and Climate Sciences: Proceedings of a Workshop -- in Brief Opportunities and Challenges for Digital Twins in Atmospheric and Climate Sciences: Proceedings of a Workshop -- in Brief (National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, The National Academies Press, Washington, DC, 2023) is reprinted here in its entirety.
From page 136...
... More realistic simulations at the global scale will inform a National Academies consensus study on could translate to information at the regional scale that research gaps and future directions to advance the better supports decision-making for climate adaptation mathematical, statistical, and computational foundations and mitigation through tight integration and interaction of digital twins in applications across science, medicine, with impact sector models. Now in the first phase (2021– engineering, and society.1 2024)
From page 137...
... Modigliani explained that Earth system digital twins Venkatramani Balaji, Schmidt Futures, the plenary require unprecedented simulation capabilities––for session's second speaker, presented a brief overview of example, ECMWF aspires to have a simulation on the the history of climate modeling, starting with a oneorder of 1–4 km at the global scale, which could enable dimensional model response to carbon dioxide doubling the modeling of small scales of sea ice transformation in 1967. This early work revealed that studying climate and the development of more accurate forecasts.
From page 138...
... Ruby Leung, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, He suggested that ML offers systematic methods for moderated a discussion among the plenary speakers. She calibration and emulation in a formal mathematical way posed a question about what distinguishes a digital twin to achieve traceable model hierarchies.
From page 139...
... the assessor's parcel data, building footprint data, and building floor numbers, and it includes city-scale auto- Jablonowski emphasized that selecting the appropriate calibration to improve the energy use estimate. The spatial and temporal scales for digital twins is critical model enables the estimation of both the spatial pattern to determine the following: the phenomena that can of energy use for each building and the hourly temporal be represented in a model; the correct equation set for pattern (e.g., the commercial area uses the least energy at the fluid flow; the required physical parameterizations, midnight and the most at noon)
From page 140...
... strength of the communication channel between the He stressed that no "digital twin for climate" exists, physical and digital representations, and the usefulness of but digital twin technology could be used to strengthen the digital twin for climate research. climate models; for example, systematic biases could be reduced via ML-driven calibration, new physicsGavin A
From page 141...
... Jablonowski encouraged investments that that although some things will not change much in the improve access to extreme-scale computing resources next 10 years, confidence is lacking in the accuracy of and broaden community engagement in the digital twin boundary force problems at that timescale. At the 20- endeavor.
From page 142...
... Phase 69 library, and he described the potential engines that consume energy and produce gases) require value of pretraining digital twins to regenerate missing detailed modeling to be operated more sustainably and detail in between sparsely stored checkpoints at short efficiently; better weather and climate models are also intervals.
From page 143...
... Barnes, Colorado State University, stated assess whether the digital twin is reliable will be critical. that because duplicating the complexity of the Earth Pritchard mentioned the opportunity to use scorecards system will never be possible, the term "digital twin" from Numerical Weather Prediction Centers that provide is misleading.
From page 144...
... Hub's10 initial brief presentations from experts in polar climate, AI modeling and forecasting capabilities provide water-level algorithms, ocean science, carbon cycle science, and information at the scale where people live. A network applied mathematics; they discussed how digital twins of ~65 sensors that are distributed and interconnected could be useful in their research areas and where digital wirelessly along the coast around critical infrastructure twins could have the greatest future impacts.
From page 145...
... He emphasized that the fundamental success understood, quantified, and communicated. Anandkumar of digital twins depends on their ability to compensate responded that ML has great potential, although it is for the modeling error that causes incompatibility still an emerging approach; with its increased speed, of numerical weather prediction models and climate thousands of ensemble members could be created -- prediction models.
From page 146...
... AND EQUITY Incorporating questions from workshop participants, Ye Parris asked the panelists to share examples of digital and Parris moderated the workshop's final discussion twins that provide societal benefit. Goodchild described among three experts on transparency, societal benefit, the late 1990s concept of the Digital Earth as a "prime and equity considerations for the use of digital mover" in this space and noted that the literature twins: Amy McGovern, University of Oklahoma; Mike over the past 30 years includes many examples of Goodchild, University of California, Santa Barbara; interfaces between "digital twins" and the decisionand Mark Asch, Université de Picardie Jules Verne.
From page 147...
... Asch described work in the Philippines to model the spread of stressed that transparency and reproducibility are key viral epidemics. He noted that creating dashboards is an to increasing digital twin acceptance, and users should effective way for end users to interact with a complicated be able to follow a digital twin's reasoning as well as problem; however, more work remains to model social understand how to use and exploit it.
From page 148...
... COMMITTEE ON FOUNDATIONAL RESEARCH GAPS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR DIGITAL TWINS Karen Willcox (Chair) , Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin; Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University; Caroline Chung, MD Anderson Cancer Center; Julianne Chung, Emory University; Carolina Cruz-Neira, University of Central Florida; Conrad J


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