Forecasting Demand and Supply of Doctoral Scientists and Engineers Report of a Workshop on Methodology (2000) / Chapter Skim
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1 Background
1 Background
Pages 9-14
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From page 9... ...
found the academic labor market interesting, in part because it was characterized by lengthy training periods for Ph.D.s. This meant that the market students saw when they began their graduate training was often very different from the market they encountered when they finished.
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Congress believed that NIH research training should be related to market demand and mandated the National Research Council to advise NIH on the nation's need for biomedical and behavioral research personnel for the next 10 years. The National Research Council (NRC)
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Academic hiring has remained flat because state contributions to public colleges and universities have declined, and academia, both public and private, has come under increasing pressure to slow the growth of tuition and costs. Industry demand, which is cyclically sensitive, has been growing slightly, but many of the large industrial laboratories have been drastically downsized in the past decade.
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From page 12... ...
Against this background, the NSF and the Sloan Foundation asked the NRC to form a committee of model makers and users to assess the current state of the art of models that are used for forecasts, to suggest directions for improvement, and to assist policymakers in the informed use of forecasting models. Issues for the Committee Forecast error may proceed from many sources.
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From page 13... ...
Other audiences to whom this report is directed include graduate students in science and engineering and employers of these students including industrial and academic employers, both federal and private funding agencies, and the scientific community itself. How best to inform policymakers who would be interested in using forecasts of demand and supply of scientists and engineers is also an issue that needs to be addressed.
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