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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×

Appendix A

Workshop Agenda

CHARACTERIZING AND COMMUNICATING UNCERTAINTY IN THE ASSESSMENT OF BENEFITS AND RISKS OF PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS: AN INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE WORKSHOP

February 12, 2014
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Campus
White Oak, Maryland

BACKGROUND AND MEETING OBJECTIVES

There is increasing attention on the need for enhancing the evaluation and communication of the benefits and risks associated with pharmaceutical products, thereby increasing the predictability, transparency, and efficiency of pharmaceutical regulatory decision making. In 2006, the IOM’s Forum on Drug Discovery, Development, and Translation held a workshop to explore the complex trade-off between drug benefits and risks and to examine approaches for better quantifying this balance and informing the public and the medical community. Since that time, FDA has worked to develop an enhanced structured approach to the assessment of benefits and risks in drug regulatory decision making to better communicate this aspect of the human drug review process. FDA envisions that this framework will serve as a template for product reviews, as

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×

well as a vehicle for explaining the basis for FDA’s regulatory decisions.1 FDA’s work in this area coincides with efforts by other regulatory agencies, academia, and the pharmaceutical industry.

As FDA’s draft PDUFA V Implementation Plan (the Plan) indicates, an extensive body of evidence informs regulatory decisions on the safety and efficacy of a proposed product, but in many cases, FDA must draw conclusions from imperfect data. Identifying and evaluating sources of uncertainty (e.g., absence of information, conflicting findings, marginal results) in a regulatory application is an important part of reviewers’ work; however, drawing conclusions in the face of uncertainty can be a complex and challenging task. Effectively communicating regulatory decisions necessarily includes explanation of the impact of uncertainty on decision making. Uncertainty may arise from many sources; however, two particular areas of uncertainty that could benefit from additional attention are (1) the translation of premarket clinical trial data to the postmarket setting in which an approved drug is used in a much wider patient population, and (2) new findings that emerge in a postmarketing setting where the basis for the finding comes from sources of varying levels of rigor.

This public workshop will address the opportunity to advance the development of more systematic and structured approaches to characterize and communicate (a) the sources of uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks; and (b) their implications for pharmaceutical regulatory decisions. Specifically, the workshop will explore potential analytical and communication approaches and identify key considerations on their development, evaluation, and incorporation into the assessment of benefits and risks in pharmaceuticals. This workshop will consider the entire drug development lifecycle, including premarket drug review and postmarket safety surveillance.

The workshop objectives are to:

  • Discuss the challenges in applying more systematic approaches to characterizing and communicating uncertainty in the assessment of a drug’s benefits and risks.
  • Identify potential systematic approaches to address uncertainty faced by regulators in the assessment of benefits and risks in pharmaceuticals, drawing from various scientific and regulatory disciplines and domains.

__________________

1 FDA’s structured approach to benefit–risk assessment in drug regulatory decision making is outlined in the Draft PDUFA V Implementation Plan [February 2013], available at http://www.fda.gov/downloads/ForIndustry/UserFees/PrescriptionDrugUserFee/UCM329758.pdf (accessed August 23, 2014).

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
  • Identify possible principles, best practices, and resources that can facilitate the development, evaluation, and incorporation of such approaches in regulatory decision making.
  • Explore principles and approaches to facilitate the communication about uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks with FDA stakeholders.

First Workshop in the Series

9:00 a.m. Opening Remarks
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
ROBERT RATNER, Workshop Co-Chair
Chief Scientific and Medical Officer
American Diabetes Association
 
9:15 a.m. The Importance of Considering Uncertainty in Regulatory Decision Making (15 min.)
 
JANET WOODCOCK
Director, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 

SESSION I: APPROACHES TO EVALUATE UNCERTAINTY: MAXIMIZING THE VALUE OF THE EVIDENCE

Session Objectives:

image   Discuss potential methods (proven and yet to be tried) to identify and evaluate sources of uncertainty. What structured systematic approaches to evaluating uncertainties could be considered by regulators?

image   Acknowledge and discuss challenges in both identifying and addressing uncertainty in drug regulation.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
9:30 a.m. Background and Session Objectives (5 min.)
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
9:35 a.m. Key Sources of Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceuticals and Associated Challenges (15 min.)
 
TAREK A. HAMMAD
Executive Director, Epidemiology
Merck Research Laboratories
Merck & Co., Inc.
 
9:50 a.m. Identifying and Evaluating Uncertainty
 
Addressing Challenges Arising from the Completeness of Data Collection in Clinical Trials (15 min.)
 
DEBORAH A. ZARIN
Director, ClinicalTrials.gov
National Library of Medicine
National Institutes of Health
 
Identifying and Retaining Subgroups in Clinical Trials in the Context of Uncertainty About the External Validity of Clinical Trials (15 min.)
 
MICHAELA KIERNAN
Senior Research Scientist
Stanford Prevention Research Center
Stanford University School of Medicine
 
Research Methodologies to Reduce or Address Uncertainties in the Evaluation of Pharmaceutical Benefits and Risks (15 min.)
 
SEBASTIAN SCHNEEWEISS
Professor of Medicine and Epidemiology
Harvard Medical School
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
10:35 a.m. Discussion with Speakers and Audience (20 min.)
 
Discussion Moderator: Brian Strom, Chancellor,
Biomedical and Health Sciences, Rutgers University
 
10:55 a.m. BREAK (15 min.)
 

SESSION II: CASE STUDIES: UNCERTAINTY IN THE ASSESSMENT OF BENEFITS AND RISKS OF PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS

 
Session Objectives:

image   Provide an overview of FDA’s approach to evaluating benefits and risks of pharmaceutical products and how these approaches take into consideration sources of uncertainty.

image   Identify a range of uncertainties faced by drug regulators through presentation of two drug product case studies from FDA, including pre- and postmarket experiences. The case studies will illustrate how the uncertainty was considered and addressed in the decision-making process within the constraints of protecting proprietary information.

 
11:10 a.m. Background and Session Objectives (5 min.)
 
PATRICK FREY, Session Chair
Director, Office of Program and Strategic Analysis
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
11:15 a.m. FDA Approach to Evaluating Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceuticals (10 min.)
 
PATRICK FREY
Director, Office of Program and Strategic Analysis
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
11:25 a.m. Presentation of FDA Case Studies
 
Tysabri (natalizumab)/Multiple Sclerosis (MS) (15 min.)
 
ROBERT TEMPLE
Deputy Director for Clinical Science
Acting Deputy Director, Office of Drug Evaluation I
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
Anoro Ellipta (umeclidinium and vilanterol inhalation powder)/Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) (15 min.)
 
JENNIFER PIPPINS
Medical Officer
Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Rheumatology Products
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
11:55 a.m. Discussion with Speakers and Audience (15 min.)
 
Discussion Moderator: Patrick Frey, Director, Office of Program and Strategic Analysis, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
12:10 p.m. LUNCH (50 min.)
 

SESSION III: METHODS TO ADDRESS UNCERTAINTY: MAKING SENSE OF FINDINGS FROM THE EVIDENCE

 
Session Objectives:

image   Consider methods, statistical or otherwise, that could be deployed by the regulator to evaluate and address issues of uncertainty in clinical research data.

image   Present methods, approaches, and lessons learned from other regulatory domains, which could address the challenges of identification and evaluation of uncertainty in regulatory decision making.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
1:00 p.m. Background and Session Objectives (5 min.)
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
1:05 p.m. Methods to Characterize and Elicit Uncertainty (15 min.)
 
M. GRANGER MORGAN [via remote presentation]
Professor and Head
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
1:20 p.m. Addressing Challenges of Identification and Evaluation of Uncertainty
 
Experiences in Implementing Uncertainty Assessments in the Defense/Intelligence Communities (15 min.)
 
DAVID R. MANDEL
Senior Scientist
Defence Research and Development Canada, Toronto Research Centre
 
Systematic Approaches to Assessing the Internal and External Validity of Randomized Controlled Trials (15 min.)
 
JOHN P. A. IOANNIDIS [via remote presentation]
C.F. Rehnborg Professor in Disease Prevention
Professor of Health Research and Policy
Stanford University School of Medicine
 
Bayesian Approaches to Evaluating Clinical Trial Data (15 min.)
 
JOEL GREENHOUSE
Professor of Statistics
Carnegie Mellon University
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
2:05 p.m. Discussion with Speakers and Audience (20 min.)
 
Discussion Moderator: Lisa LaVange, Director, Office of Biostatistics, Office of Translational Sciences, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
2:25 p.m. BREAK (15 min.)
 

SESSION IV: REGULATORY DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY

 
Session Objective:
 

image   Discuss potential approaches from decision theory that could be used in the regulatory setting (e.g., case studies), acknowledging that approaches will vary in the context of the unique uncertainties presented and that ultimately, the regulator will need to decide.

 
2:40 p.m. Background and Session Objective (5 min.)
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
2:45 p.m. Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions in Pharmaceutical Benefits and Risks (15 min.)
 
CHARLES F. MANSKI
Board of Trustees Professor in Economics
Northwestern University
 
3:00 p.m. Approaches Suggested from Decision Theory to Support Regulatory Decision Making Under Uncertainty
 
Approaches to Eliciting Values for Uncertain Choices (15 min.)
 
TIMOTHY MCDANIELS
Faculty of Science
Institute of Resources and Environment
University of British Columbia
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
Consultative Processes for Acceptable Decisions (15 min.)
 
JOSEPH ARVAI
Svare Chair in Applied Decision Research
Department of Geography
Institute for Sustainable Energy, Environment, and Economy
University of Calgary
 
3:30 p.m. Discussion with Speakers and Audience (20 min.)
 
Discussion Moderator: Paul Seligman, Executive Director, U.S. Regulatory Policy, Amgen Inc.
 
3:50 p.m. Public Comment Period (30 min.)
 

SESSION V: CONSIDERATIONS ON IMPLEMENTING STRUCTURED APPROACHES TO CHARACTERIZING UNCERTAINTY

 
Session Objectives:
 

image   Reflecting on the presentations and discussions of the day, identify and discuss possible principles and best practices to successfully implement structured approaches to address uncertainty in the assessment of pharmaceutical benefits and risks.

image   Consider the culture and institutional support needed to advance the development, evaluation, and incorporation of structured approaches to evaluate uncertainty in the regulatory decision-making process.

 
4:20 p.m. Background and Session Objectives (5 min.)
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
4:25 p.m. Reaction Panel and Discussion with the Audience: Decision Making in the Context of Uncertainty (35 min.)
 
FRANCESCO PIGNATTI
Oncology, Hematology, Diagnostics Section
Scientific and Regulatory Management Department
European Medicines Agency
 
KIMBY BARTON
Director, Bureau of Cardiology, Allergy, and Neurological Sciences
Health Canada
 
JOHN JENKINS
Director, Office of New Drugs
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
RALPH HORWITZ
Senior Vice President
Clinical Sciences Evaluation
GlaxoSmithKline
 
TIMOTHY MCDANIELS
Faculty of Science
Institute of Resources and Environment
University of British Columbia
 
Panel and Discussion Moderator: Baruch Fischhoff, Howard Heinz University Professor, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University
 
5:00 p.m. Adjourn
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×

CHARACTERIZING AND COMMUNICATING UNCERTAINTY IN THE ASSESSMENT OF BENEFITS AND RISKS OF PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS: AN INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE WORKSHOP

May 12, 2014
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Campus
White Oak, Maryland

BACKGROUND AND MEETING OBJECTIVES

There is increasing attention on the need for enhancing the evaluation and communication of the benefits and risks associated with pharmaceutical products, thereby increasing the predictability, transparency, and efficiency of pharmaceutical regulatory decision making. In 2006, the IOM’s Forum on Drug Discovery, Development, and Translation held a workshop to explore the complex trade-off between drug benefits and risks and to examine approaches for better quantifying this balance and informing the public and the medical community. Since that time, FDA has worked to develop an enhanced structured approach to the assessment of benefits and risks in drug regulatory decision making to better communicate this aspect of the human drug review process. FDA envisions that this framework will serve as a template for product reviews, as well as a vehicle for explaining the basis for FDA’s regulatory decisions.2 FDA’s work in this area coincides with efforts by other regulatory agencies, academia, and the pharmaceutical industry.

As FDA’s draft PDUFA V Implementation Plan (the Plan) indicates, an extensive body of evidence informs regulatory decisions on the safety and efficacy of a proposed product, but in many cases, FDA must draw conclusions from imperfect data. Identifying and evaluating sources of uncertainty (e.g., absence of information, conflicting findings, marginal results) in a regulatory application is an important part of reviewers’ work; however, drawing conclusions in the face of uncertainty can be a complex and challenging task. Effectively communicating regulatory decisions necessarily includes explanation of the impact of uncertainty on decision making. Uncertainty may arise from many sources; however, two particular areas of uncertainty that could benefit from additional attention are (1) the translation of premarket clinical trial data to the postmarket setting in which an approved drug is used in a much wider patient popu-

__________________

2 FDA’s structured approach to benefit–risk assessment in drug regulatory decision making is outlined in the Draft PDUFA V Implementation Plan [February 2013], available at http://www.fda.gov/downloads/ForIndustry/UserFees/PrescriptionDrugUserFee/UCM329758.pdf (accessed September 18, 2014).

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×

lation, and (2) new findings that emerge in a postmarketing setting where the basis for the finding comes from sources of varying levels of rigor.

This two-part public workshop series will address the opportunity to advance the development of more systematic and structured approaches to characterize and communicate (a) the sources of uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks; and (b) their implications for pharmaceutical regulatory decisions. Specifically, the workshop series will explore potential analytical and communication approaches and identify key considerations on their development, evaluation, and incorporation into the assessment of benefits and risks in pharmaceuticals. This workshop series will consider the entire drug development lifecycle, including premarket drug review and postmarket safety surveillance.

The workshop series objectives are to:

  • Discuss the challenges in applying more systematic approaches to characterizing and communicating uncertainty in the assessment of a drug’s benefits and risks.
  • Identify potential systematic approaches to address uncertainty faced by regulators in the assessment of benefits and risks in pharmaceuticals, drawing from various scientific and regulatory disciplines and domains.
  • Identify possible principles, best practices, and resources that can facilitate the development, evaluation, and incorporation of such approaches in regulatory decision making.
  • Explore principles and approaches to facilitate the communication about uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks with FDA stakeholders.
 

Second Workshop in the Series

 
9:00 a.m. Welcome and Opening Remarks
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
ROBERT RATNER, Workshop Co-Chair
Chief Scientific and Medical Officer
American Diabetes Association
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×

SESSION I: REFLECTIONS ON CHARACTERIZING UNCERTAINTY: LESSONS FROM THE FIRST WORKSHOP

 
Session Objectives:  

image   Discuss objectives of the first workshop.

image   Identify key themes from the first workshop.

image   Discuss how lessons and observations from the first workshop could support the advancement of approaches to characterizing uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks and their implications for pharmaceutical regulatory decisions.

 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair, Session Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
9:05 a.m. The Challenge of Uncertainty in Regulatory Decision Making (20 min.)
 
PATRICK FREY
Director, Office of Program and Strategic Analysis
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
9:25 a.m. Key Messages and Potential Lessons Learned (30 min.)
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
PAUL SELIGMAN
Executive Director, U.S. Regulatory Policy
Amgen Inc.
 
Discussion Question:

image   How can the concepts discussed in day 1 be applied and operationalized in characterizing uncertainty in pharmaceutical product evaluation?

 
9:55 a.m. BREAK (15 min.)
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×

SESSION II: OVERVIEW OF REGULATORY STRATEGIES ABOUT UNCERTAINTY IN THE BENEFIT AND RISK ASSESSMENT

 
Session Objectives:

image   Provide an overview of regulatory strategies for communicating benefits and risks of pharmaceutical products and clarify the drug regulator’s role in communicating uncertainty.

image   Discuss FDA’s Patient-Focused Drug Development initiative and consider the ways in which FDA receives information from different stakeholders and incorporates this information into addressing the relevant uncertainties in the assessment of benefits and risks.

 
10:10 a.m. Background and Session Objectives (5 min.)
 
ROBERT RATNER, Workshop Co-Chair
Chief Scientific and Medical Officer
American Diabetes Association
 
10:15 a.m. Challenges to the Regulator in Communicating Uncertainties in Risks of Approved Pharmaceuticals (15 min.)
 
MARY H. PARKS
Deputy Director, Office of Drug Evaluation II
Office of New Drugs
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
10:30 a.m. FDA Patient-Focused Drug Development Initiative (15 min.)
 
THERESA MULLIN
Director, Office of Strategic Programs
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
10:45 a.m. Health Canada’s Approach to Uncertainty Within Its Benefit–Harm–Uncertainty Initiative (15 min.)
 
ROBYN LIM
Senior Science Advisor, Office of Legislative and
Regulatory Modernization
Health Products and Food Branch
Health Canada
 
11:00 a.m. Discussion with Speakers and Audience (20 min.)
 
Discussion Moderator: Robert Ratner, Chief Scientific and
Medical Officer, American Diabetes Association
 
Discussion Questions:

image   How can the patient voice inform how much uncertainty can be tolerated?

image   How do we communicate information about what is known and unknown about benefits and risks as that information changes?

 

SESSION III: COMMUNICATING UNCERTAINTY ABOUT BENEFIT AND RISK ASSESSMENTS

 
Session Objectives:

image   Understand and consider the implications of the communication of uncertainty about benefit and risk assessments on the health care system beyond drug regulatory decision making.

image   Understand a patient perspective on what is important to patients in understanding the assessments of benefit and risk and how patients want to receive and share information about uncertainty.

image   Consider methodological challenges in communication strategies and suggest approaches for overcoming the “false precision” that can arise in assigning probabilities to patient outcomes.

image   Suggest principles and approaches to improve the communication about uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks to FDA stakeholders.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
11:20 a.m. Background and Session Objectives (5 min.)
 
ROBERT RATNER, Workshop Co-Chair
Chief Scientific and Medical Officer
American Diabetes Association
 
11:25 a.m. Overview of Risk Communication (15 min.)
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
11:40 a.m. Risk Communication in the Context of Pharmaceuticals (15 min.)
 
LISA M. SCHWARTZ
Professor, Departments of Medicine and Community & Family Medicine
Dartmouth Medical School
Co-Director, Medicine in the Media Program
The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice
 
STEVEN WOLOSHIN
Professor, Departments of Medicine and Community & Family Medicine
Dartmouth Medical School
Co-Director, Medicine in the Media Program
The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice
 
11:55 a.m. What Are the Sources of Uncertainty When a Patient Is Faced with Choice? (15 min.)
 
KIMBERLY McCLEARY
Director of Strategic Initiatives
FasterCures
 
12:10 p.m. LUNCH (40 min.)
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
12:50 p.m. Reintroducing the Tysabri Case Study (15 min.)
 
ROBERT TEMPLE
Deputy Director for Clinical Science
Acting Deputy Director, Office of Drug Evaluation I Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
1:05 p.m. Media Analysis: Tysabri Case Study (20 min.)
 
LISA M. SCHWARTZ
Professor, Departments of Medicine and Community & Family Medicine
Dartmouth Medical School
Co-Director, Medicine in the Media Program
The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice
 
STEVEN WOLOSHIN
Professor, Departments of Medicine and Community & Family Medicine
Dartmouth Medical School
Co-Director, Medicine in the Media Program
The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice
 
1:25 p.m. Discussion on Communicating Uncertainty in Benefit and Risk Assessments of Pharmaceutical Products: Tysabri and Beyond (60 min.)
 
Session III Speakers and:
 
CARMEN BOZIC
Senior Vice President
Clinical and Safety Sciences
Biogen Idec
 
ROBERT FOX
Staff Neurologist
Mellen Center for Multiple Sclerosis
Cleveland Clinic
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
ALICE HUGHES
Deputy Director for Safety of the Division of Neurology
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
JOYCE KORVICK
Deputy Director for Safety, Division of Gastroenterology and Inborn Error Products
Office of Drug Evaluation III
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
 
CYNTHIA SITCOV
Patient Representative & Voting Member
U.S. Food and Drug Administration, Central and Peripheral Systems Advisory Committee, 2005–Present
 
Discussion Moderator: Gavin Huntley-Fenner, Human
Factors and Safety Consultant, Huntley-Fenner Advisors
 
2:25 p.m. BREAK (15 min.)
 
2:40 p.m. Public Comment Period (30 min.)
 

SESSION IV: CONCLUDING DISCUSSION: LESSONS LEARNED AND POTENTIAL STRATEGIES FOR A WAY FORWARD

Session Objectives:
 

image   Discuss key themes from the workshop series.

o   What are key techniques and approaches for identifying, characterizing, and addressing uncertainty?

o   How do we communicate uncertainty in evidence regarding benefit–risk assessment?

image   Describe key gaps in understanding and explore how best to address those gaps.

image   Highlight potential pivotal opportunities to advance more systematic and structured approaches to characterizing and communicating the sources of uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks.

o   How do we shape an agenda for next steps to address these issues?

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
3:10 p.m. Reflections from the Workshop Co-Chairs (10 min.)
 
BARUCH FISCHHOFF, Workshop Co-Chair
Howard Heinz University Professor
Department of Social and Decision Sciences
Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
 
ROBERT RATNER, Workshop Co-Chair
Chief Scientific and Medical Officer
American Diabetes Association
 
3:20 p.m. Brainstorming Discussion of Key Themes from the Workshop Series (80 min.)
 
3:20 p.m. Segment One: Identifying and Mitigating Uncertainty Through Maximizing the Value of Evidence
 
Reflections from Discussion Lead
 
Discussion Lead: Robert Temple, U.S. Food and Drug Administration (5 min.)
 
3:25 p.m. Discussion with Workshop Participants (15 min.)
 
3:40 p.m. Segment Two: Characterizing and Understanding Uncertainties
 
Reflections from Discussion Lead
 
Discussion Lead: Paul Seligman, Amgen Inc. (5 min.)
 
3:45 p.m. Discussion with Workshop Participants (15 min.)
 
4:00 p.m. Segment Three: Eliciting Values from Stakeholders, Particularly Patients
 
Reflections from Discussion Lead
 
Discussion Lead: Kimberly McCleary, FasterCures (5 min.)
 
4:05 p.m. Discussion with Workshop Participants (15 min.)
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
4:20 p.m. Segment Four: Communicating Uncertainty About Benefit and Risk Assessments of Pharmaceutical Products
 
Reflections from Discussion Lead
 
Discussion Lead: Gavin Huntley-Fenner, Huntley-Fenner Advisors (5 min.)
 
4:25 p.m. Discussion with Workshop Participants (15 min.)
 
4:40 p.m. Reflecting on Tactics and Strategies for a Way Forward (20 min.)
 
Discussion Moderators: Workshop Co-Chairs, Baruch
Fischhoff, Carnegie Mellon University; and Robert Ratner, American Diabetes Association
 
5:00 p.m. Adjourn
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
×
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda." Institute of Medicine. 2014. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18870.
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Despite the extensive body of evidence that informs regulatory decisions on pharmaceutical products, significant uncertainties persist, including the underlying variability in human biology, factors associated with the chemistry of a drug, and limitations in the research and clinical trial process itself that might limit the generalizability of results. As a result, regulatory reviewers are consistently required to draw conclusions about a drug's safety and efficacy from imperfect data. Efforts are underway within the drug development community to enhance the evaluation and communication of the benefits and risks associated with pharmaceutical products, aimed at increasing the predictability, transparency, and efficiency of pharmaceutical regulatory decision making. Effectively communicating regulatory decisions necessarily includes explanation of the impact of uncertainty on decision making.

On February 12 and May 12, 2014, the Institute of Medicine's Forum on Drug Discovery, Development, and Translation held public workshops to advance the development of more systematic and structured approaches to characterize and communicate the sources of uncertainty in the assessment of benefits and risks, and to consider their implications for pharmaceutical regulatory decisions. Workshop presentations and discussions on February 12 were convened to explore the science of identifying and characterizing uncertainty in scientific evidence and approaches to translate uncertainties into decisions that reflect the values of stakeholders. The May 12 workshop presentations and discussions explored tools and approaches to communicating about scientific uncertainties to a range of stakeholders in the drug development process. Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty in the Assessment of Benefits and Risks of Pharmaceutical Products summarizes the presentation and discussion of both events. This report explores potential analytical and communication approaches and identifies key considerations on their development, evaluation, and incorporation into pharmaceutical benefit- risk assessment throughout the entire drug development lifecycle.

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