Economic Models of Colorectal Cancer Screening in Average-Risk Adults
Workshop Summary
Michael Pignone, Louise Russell and Judith Wagner, Editors
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
Washington, D.C.
www.nap.edu
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NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine.
This study was supported by Contract No. N01-OD-4–2139 between the National Academy of Sciences and the National Cancer Institute. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the organizations or agencies that provided support for the project.
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THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
Advisers to the Nation on Science, Engineering, and Medicine
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The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Harvey V.Fineberg is president of the Institute of Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy’s purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M.Alberts and Dr. Wm. A.Wulf are chair and vice chair, respectively, of the National Research Council.
NATIONAL CANCER POLICY BOARD
JOSEPH SIMONE (Chair),
Simone Consulting, Dunwoody, GA
ELLEN STOVALL (Vice Chair), Executive Director,
National Coalition for Cancer Survivorship, Silver Spring, MD
BRUCE W. STILLMAN (Vice Chair), Director,
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, Cold Spring Harbor, NY
JILL BARGONETTI, Associate Professor,
Department of Biological Sciences, Hunter College, New York, NY
TIMOTHY EBERLEIN, Bixby Professor and Chairman,
Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO
KATHY GIUSTI, President,
Multiple Myeloma Research Foundation, New Cannaan, CT
KAREN HERSEY, Senior Counsel,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA
JIMMIE C.HOLLAND, Chair,
Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY
WILLIAM KAELIN, Professor,
Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
WILLIAM McGUIRE, Chief Executive Officer,
UnitedHealth Group, Minnetonka, Minnesota
JOHN MENDELSOHN, President,
M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, University of Texas, Houston, TX
KATHLEEN HARDIN MOONEY, Professor,
University of Utah College of Nursing, Salt Lake City, UT
PATRICIA NOLAN, Director,
Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, RI
DAVID PARKINSON, Oncology Therapeutic Area Head,
Amgen, Inc. Thousand Oaks, CA
JOHN POTTER, Senior Vice President and Director,
Cancer Prevention Research Program, Fred Hutdchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA
LOUISE RUSSELL, Professor,
Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ
THOMAS J.SMITH, Professor,
Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA
ROBERT C.YOUNG, Past-President,
American Cancer Society and President, the Fox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, PA
Study Staff
JUDITH L.WAGNER, Scholar in Residence,
Institute of Medicine
ELIZABETH J.BROWN, Research Assistant
ANIKE L.JOHNSON, Administrative Assistant
MARY ANN F.PRYOR, Project Assistant
LOUISE B.RUSSELL, Research Professor,
Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research, Rutgers University, Workshop Chair
MICHAEL P.PIGNONE, Assistant Professor of Medicine,
University of North Carolina
REVIEWERS
All presenters at the workshop have reviewed and approved their respective sections of this report for accuracy. In addition, this workshop summary has been reviewed in draft form by independent reviewers chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordance with procedures approved by the National Research Council’s Report Review Committee. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the Institute of Medicine (IOM) in making the published workshop summary as sound as possible and to ensure that the workshop summary meets institutional standards. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process.
The National Cancer Policy Board and IOM thank the following individuals for their participation in the review process:
John Inadomi, University of Michigan Medical Center and VA Ann Arbor Health Care System
David Lieberman, Oregon Health Sciences University
Diana Petitti, Kaiser Permanente of Southern California
David Ransohof, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
The review of the report was overseen by Clyde J.Behney, Deputy Executive Director, IOM, who was responsible for making certain that an independent examination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutional procedures and that all review comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the editors and the institution.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Natural History of Colorectal Adenomas and Cancer: T.R.Levin, M.D. |
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CISNET—Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Eric J. (Rocky) Feuer, Ph.D. |
TABLES AND FIGURES
TABLES
1 |
Summary of Standardized Assumptions: Pre-workshop Exercise |
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2 |
Basic Assumptions: Pre-workshop Exercise |
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3 |
Summary of Original Assumptions |
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4 |
Settings for Experimental Runs: Pre-workshop Exercise |
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5 |
Predicted Years of Life Lived and Lifetime CRC Costs per Capita, No Screening: Original Model Assumptions |
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6 |
Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios of Five CRC Screening Strategies: Original Assumptions |
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7 |
Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios of Five CRC Screening Strategies: Standardized Assumptions |
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8 |
Effect of Standardizing Individual Assumption Groups on Variation Across Models: Ratio of Highest Estimate to Lowest Estimate |
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9 |
Effect of Standardizing Specific Assumption Groups on Variation in Cost-Effectiveness Ratios Across Models-Ratio of Highest Estimate to Lowest Estimate |
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10 |
Impact of Excluding Non-Adenomatous Polyps from the Vanderbilt Model |
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11 |
Impact of Detecting Non-Adenomas on Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios |
FIGURES
1a |
Years of life gained from screening: original assumptions |
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1b |
Lifetime costs of screening: original assumptions |
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2 |
Cost-effectiveness of screening: original assumptions |
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3a |
Years of life gained from screening: standardized assumptions |
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3b |
Lifetime costs of screening: standardized assumptions |
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4 |
Cost-effectiveness of screening: standardized assumptions |