TRB’s Airport Cooperative Research Program has released a pre-publication version of ACRP Research Report 204: Air Demand in a Dynamic Competitive Context with the Automobile. The report establishes a new approach to the analysis of future consumer demand for shorter distance air travel in comparison with travel by automobile.
According to the report, future demand for shorter-range airline trips is both volatile and unstable, affected by changes in technology as well as consumer preferences. Through application of new research tools that support scenario analysis, the report suggests that evolving automobile technology could diminish demand for shorter-range air trips, both in terms of distance to ultimate destination as well as access to larger airports.
Alternatively, changes in aircraft technology could increase demand for short-distance air travel by creating improvements that decrease operating cost of short flights. Most probably, the future will bring changes affected by both emerging trends.
The report may help managers of smaller airports develop a better understanding of how consumers choose between flying out of a smaller hometown airport to connect to a larger airport versus a longer automobile drive bypassing the smaller airport, traveling directly to a larger airport.
Table of Contents
|Chapter 1. Summary and Major Findings: Understanding the Market Between Air and the Auto||15-34|
|Chapter 2. Trends and Changes in Auto and Air Markets over Two Decades||35-51|
|Chapter 3. Factors Which Influence the Choice of Mode for the Long-Distance Trip||52-63|
|Chapter 4. The Role of the Automobile in the Future of Smaller American Airports: Leakage from Smaller to Larger||64-84|
|Chapter 5. Attitudes Toward the Long-Distance Trip and Their Role in Influencing Mode Choice||85-100|
|Chapter 6. Methods We Used in This Project||101-115|
|Chapter 7. Conclusions and Further Research||116-123|
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