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Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security (2012)

Chapter: Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×

Appendix A

Workshop Agenda and Participants

Himalayan Glaciers, Hydrology, Climate Change,
and Implications for Water Security

Workshop
October 19-20, 2011
House of Sweden
2900 K Street NW
Washington, DC

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 19, 2011

7:30 A.M. Breakfast Served
8:00 A.M. Welcome and Purpose of Workshop Henry Vaux
University of California, Berkeley

Regional Climate and Meteorology
Moderators: Edward Cook, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
William Lau, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

8:30 A.M. Observed and Projected Changes in Hydrometeorological Variables over the Indian Himalayas Krishna Kumar
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology
8:55 A.M. Regional Meteorology and Monsoon Dynamics Arnico Panday
University of Virginia
9:20 A.M. What Do We Know About Snow Darkening Effects on the Himalayan Glaciers? Teppei Yasunari
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
9:45 A.M. Break
10:15 A.M. Hydroclimate Variability and Change over the Northern Gangetic Plain and Himalayan Region: Observations, Simulations, and Projections Sumant Nigam
University of Maryland
10:40 A.M. Hydro-Climatic Challenges for Pakistan:
Ideational and Material Drivers
Daanish Mustafa
Kings College London
11:05 A.M. Group Discussion
11:45 A.M. Continued Discussion over Lunch
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×

Regional Hydrology, Water Supply, Use, and Management
Moderator: Peter Gleick, Pacific Institute

1:00 P.M. The Glaciers of the Hindu Kush-Himalayan Region: A Summary of the Science Regarding Glacier Melt and Retreat in the Himalayan, Hindu Kush, Karakoram, Pamir, and Tien Shan Mountain Ranges Richard Armstrong
University of Colorado
1:25 P.M. Glacial Lake Outburst Floods Alton Byers
The Mountain Institute
1:50 P.M. The Water Towers of Asia: Can we Reconcile Water Demands for Livelihood in a Changing Climate? Shama Perveen
Columbia University
2:15 P.M. Under Pressure: International Water Management Challenges in the Himalayan Region David Michel
Stimson Center
2:40 P.M. Group Discussion
3:20 P.M. Break

Regional Demography
Moderator: Deborah Balk, City University of New York

3:40 P.M. Overview of Social and Family Demography in South Asia Sajeda Amin
Population Council
4:05 P.M. Regional Population Trends and Environmental Issues Malea Hoepf Young
Independent Consultant
4:30 P.M. Group Discussion
5:15 P.M. Break
6:00 P.M. Continued Discussion over Dinner

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20, 2011

7:30 A.M. Breakfast Served
8:00 A.M. Inventorying and Monitoring the Recent Behavior of Afghanistan’s Glaciers Bruce Molnia
U.S. Geological Survey

Regional Politics
Moderator: Marc Levy, Center for International Earth Sciences Information Network

8:30 A.M. Resource and Security Links Richard Matthew
University of California, Irvine
8:55 A.M. Group Discussion
9:40 A.M. Break

Risk Factors and Vulnerabilities
Moderator: Elizabeth Malone, Joint Global Change Research Institute

10:00 A.M. Panel Discussion
Afghanistan

Bangladesh

Bhutan
Sanjay Pahuja
World Bank
Ahsan Uddin Ahmed
Centre for Global Change
Thinley Namgyel
National Environment Commission Secretariat
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×
China

India

Nepal

Pakistan
Jennifer Turner
Woodrow Wilson Center
Sumit Ganguly
Indiana University, Bloomington
Dipak Gyawali
Nepal Water Conservation Foundation
David Archer
JBA Consulting
12:15 P.M. Assignments to Working Groups Henry Vaux
University of California, Berkeley
12:30 P.M. Pick Up Lunch and Break into Working Groups
12:50 P.M. Working Groups Meet
Working Group 1
Climate and Meteorology
Moderator: Drew Shindell
NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies
Rapporteur: Balaji Rajagopalan
University of Colorado
Working Group 2
Hydrology, Water Supply, Use, and Management
Moderator: Mark Williams
University of Colorado, Boulder
Rapporteur: Bodo Bookhagen
University of California, Santa Barbara
Working Group 3
Demography and Security
Moderator: Robert McDonald
The Nature Conservancy
Rapporteur: Nathalie Williams
University of North Carolina
Working Group 4
Risk Factors and Vulnerabilities
Moderator: James Wescoat
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Rapporteur: Henry Vaux
University of California, Berkeley
2:30 Break
2:45 P.M. Presentations from Working Group Rapporteurs
3:45 P.M. Closing Remarks Henry Vaux
University of California, Berkeley
4:00 P.M. Workshop Adjourns

Participants

Ahsan Uddin Ahmed, Centre for Global Change

Sajeda Amin, Population Council

David Archer, JBA Consulting

Richard Armstrong, University of Colorado, Boulder

D. James Baker, William J. Clinton Foundation

Bodo Bookhagen, University of California, Santa Barbara

Alton Byers, The Mountain Institute

Tom Carson, iSciences

Ric Cicone, iSciences

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×

Richard Engel, National Intelligence Council

Sumit Ganguly, Indiana University, Bloomington

Dipak Gyawali, Nepal Water Conservation Foundation

Malea Hoepf, Independent Consultant

Krishna Kumar, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology

Richard Marston, U.S. Department of State

Richard Matthew, University of California, Irvine

Mary Melnyk, U. S. Agency for International Development

David Michel, Stimson Center

Bruce Molnia, U.S. Geological Survey

Daanish Mustafa, Kings College London

Thinley Namgyel, National Environment Commission Secretariat

Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland

Sanjay Pahuja, World Bank

Arnico Panday, University of Virginia

Shama Perveen, Columbia University

Balaji Rajagopalan, University of Colorado, Boulder

John Steinbruner, University of Maryland

Andrew Taber, The Mountain Institute

Jennifer Turner, Woodrow Wilson Center

Nathalie Williams, University of North Carolina

Teppei Yasunari, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

Committee Members

Henry J. Vaux, Jr. (Chair), University of California, Berkeley

Deborah Balk, Baruch College of the City University of New York

Edward R. Cook, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

Peter Gleick, Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment and Security

William K.-M. Lau, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

Marc Levy, Center for International Earth Sciences Information Network

Elizabeth L. Malone, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Joint Global Change Research Institute at the University of Maryland

Robert McDonald, The Nature Conservancy

Drew Shindell, NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies

James L. Wescoat, Jr., Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Mark W. Williams, University of Colorado, Boulder

NRC Staff

Lauren Brown

Edward Dunlea

Chris Elfring

Shelly Freeland

Laura Helsabeck

Malay Majmundar

Daniel Muth

Paul Stern

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×
Page 115
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×
Page 116
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×
Page 117
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Agenda and Participants." National Research Council. 2012. Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13449.
×
Page 118
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Scientific evidence shows that most glaciers in South Asia's Hindu Kush Himalayan region are retreating, but the consequences for the region's water supply are unclear, this report finds. The Hindu Kush Himalayan region is the location of several of Asia's great river systems, which provide water for drinking, irrigation, and other uses for about 1.5 billion people. Recent studies show that at lower elevations, glacial retreat is unlikely to cause significant changes in water availability over the next several decades, but other factors, including groundwater depletion and increasing human water use, could have a greater impact. Higher elevation areas could experience altered water flow in some river basins if current rates of glacial retreat continue, but shifts in the location, intensity, and variability of rain and snow due to climate change will likely have a greater impact on regional water supplies.

Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security makes recommendations and sets guidelines for the future of climate change and water security in the Himalayan Region. This report emphasizes that social changes, such as changing patterns of water use and water management decisions, are likely to have at least as much of an impact on water demand as environmental factors do on water supply. Water scarcity will likely affect the rural and urban poor most severely, as these groups have the least capacity to move to new locations as needed. It is predicted that the region will become increasingly urbanized as cities expand to absorb migrants in search of economic opportunities. As living standards and populations rise, water use will likely increase-for example, as more people have diets rich in meat, more water will be needed for agricultural use. The effects of future climate change could further exacerbate water stress.

Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security explains that changes in the availability of water resources could play an increasing role in political tensions, especially if existing water management institutions do not better account for the social, economic, and ecological complexities of the region. To effectively respond to the effects of climate change, water management systems will need to take into account the social, economic, and ecological complexities of the region. This means it will be important to expand research and monitoring programs to gather more detailed, consistent, and accurate data on demographics, water supply, demand, and scarcity.

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