Pedestrian Safety Prediction Methodology (2008)

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TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES.......................................................................................................................... ii LIST OF FIGURES ....................................................................................................................... iii CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................1 Background  Research Objectives and Scope  Organization of This Report  CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................................3 Effect of Intersection Characteristics on Pedestrian Safety  Effect of Roadway Segment Characteristics on Pedestrian Safety  Existing Predictive Models for Pedestrian Crashes  Estimating Pedestrian Exposure Data From Count Periods of Less Than 24 Hours  Estimating Pedestrian Volumes from Land Use Characteristics  CHAPTER 3. PEDESTRIAN SAFETY DATABASES ..............................................................29 Signalized Intersections in Toronto  Signalized Intersections in Charlotte  Roadway Segments in Minnesota  Descriptive Statistics for Available Databases  CHAPTER 4. PEDESTRIAN SAFETY MODELING ................................................................39 Models for Signalized Intersections in Toronto  Models for Charlotte Intersections  Combined Models for Toronto and Charlotte Intersections  Base Models for Signalized Intersections  Effects of Land Use and Demographic Variables for Signalized Intersections  Final Base Models Adjusted for AMFs  Models for Roadway Segments  CHAPTER 5. RECOMMENDED HSM METHODOLOGY ......................................................59 Signalized Intersections  Unsignalized Intersections  Roadway Segments  Calibration  Revised HSM Draft  CHAPTER 6. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................63 CHAPTER 7. REFERENCES ......................................................................................................65 APPENDIX A. DRAFT VERSION OF HSM CHAPTER 10 .....................................................70