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The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset (1995)

Chapter: Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

Appendix E
Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz • Allen & Hamilton

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

Final Report to

National Academy of Sciences

Committee on the Future of the Global Positioning System

May 1, 1995

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Since our original projections were developed in September 1992, a number of factors have altered the market for GPS and DGPS products and services. These factors, comprising technology, market and policy elements, are having an influence upon the size and veracity of the GPS and DGPS markets.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Since the early 1990's, institutional issues have had a profound impact upon GPS and DGPS market acceptance in North America....an impact that is only now beginning to drive international markets.

BOOZALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

The general forecast assumptions below were used in our econometric models to quantify market size and composition, and general economic activity in the North American GPS industry (and apply equally with SA On and SA to Zero).

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Definitions: Advances in GPS technologies and DGPS techniques have been demonstrated to deliver improved performance. The prospect of SA being turned off in the near future may also be greater. This will improve all accuracy categories.

NAME

OF

SERVICE

FORECASTED

ACCURACY

(m 2 dRMS) SA ON

FORECASTED

ACCURACY

(m 2 dRMS) SA OFF

COMM'L

MONTHLY

FEES

SP METHOD

SPS (to 1996)

'100

100

FREE

C/A ONLY SA ON

SPS (to 1999)

'100

20

FREE

SA TO ZERO

SPS (to 2001)

'100

'15

FREE

DUAL FREQ SPS

SPS (to 2003)

'100

'5

FREE

IMPROVED OCS

DGPS4

'10

'5

FREE

CODE DIFF

DGPS3/2

'1

'.5

$50-150

CODE DIFF

DGPS /0

'.02

'.01

$250-500

CODE/NETW

BOOZALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Defined applications of DGPS categories continue to grow as the utility of GPS is exploited by industries at all levels of the value chain seeking distinct competitive advantages.

Accuracy

Surveying/Mapping

Land Vehicle

Marine

Aircraft Fleet

Personal

DGPS1/0

Geod. Control

Earth Moving

Dredging

CAT II/III

Self-Surveys

 

Fault Monitoring

Road Grading

Pylon Posit.

Flight Instrum.

 

 

Legal Surveys

Agriculture

 

 

 

 

Engineering Sun

 

 

 

 

 

Geodynamics

 

 

 

 

DGPS2

Resrc. Mapping

Facility Surveys

Rig Positioning

Precision Approach

Golfing

 

Reconnaissance

Mapping/GIS

Docking

CAT I

Emergency Location

 

Utility Mapping

Highway Surveys

Charting

 

Fishing

 

Highway Surveys

AVLS Trains

Buoy Positioning

 

 

 

Legal Surveys

Precision Farming

Seismic Surveys

 

 

DGPS3

GIS Data Collection

AVLS Automobiles

Channel Nav.

Initial Approach

Sailing

 

One-Call

AVLS Emergency

Cabling

Vehicle Tracking

 

 

Photo Control

AVLS Public Transport

Research

 

 

 

Navigation

AVLS Trucking

Ship Trials

 

 

DGPS4

IVHS Database GIS

Farming

Harbor Entry

En Route

Hiking

 

 

IVHS Navigation

Harbor Approach

Oceanic

 

 

 

 

Area Navigation

 

 

BOOZALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Cost of GPS technology of OEM or imbedded applications will continue to decline, and performance will dramatically increase in lockstep.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

The GPS Product area will exhibit similar trends, with avionics and surveying equipment retaining the highest sophistication and selling price.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

The marine market will enjoy complete high end penetration from GPS and DGPS, while the recreational market must wait for higher utility, low cost entries spun out of the land vehicle sector.

Marine Segment Penetration (SA On) Cumulative 10 Year Market 1994-2003

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

The land vehicle market is comprised of integrated sensors and systems, and CD ROM technologies will set the pace for market adoption in North America.

Land Vehicle Segment Penetration (SA On) Cumulative 10 Year Market 1994-2003

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

The surveying, mapping and GIS markets continue to enjoy the highest penetration percentages of all markets. GIS is only now beginning, with networks such as ACCQPOINT and DCI now available nationally.

Surveying/ Mapping/GIS Market Segment Penetration (SA On) Cumulative 10 Year Market 1994-2003

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

The air transport market will remain in turmoil for several years as WAAS and other FAA driven programs set the pace for GPS acceptance.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Careful analysis indicates that with SA On, the largest markets will utilize DGPS corrections, provided by government and private services.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

While the GPS product market dominates projections in the mid 1990's, the picture changes over time. Soon integrated systems and network services become important components of the overall product mix.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

It is possible that the DoD will relax the present policy on SA, an event that will have a profound impact upon GPS markets in most sectors. Some of the market factors with to Zero are indicated below.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Other satellite enhancements could follow in the late 1990's. Market factors with improved OCS and dual frequency standard positioning service are indicated below.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

With SA to Zero, all categories of performance increase except DGPS4, which loses to other categories.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

All categories of GPS market increase. GPS equipment manufacturing takes a dramatic jump.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

The impact of policy alternatives upon market composition will be meaningful. Changes in market composition are highlighted below.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

Comparison of the data by markets shows a variational impact of the SA policy upon each

Impact of Policy Alternatives Upon Market Composition (Units) Cumulative 10 Year Market 1994-2003

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×

North American GPS Markets

In summary, the market for GPS and DGPS products and services continues to be an attractive opportunity for manufacturers, developers and systems integrators. With SA to Zero, economic opportunity increases substantially.

BOOZ • ALLEN & HAMILTON

Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 179
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 180
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 181
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 182
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 183
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 184
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 185
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 186
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 187
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 188
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 189
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 190
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 191
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 192
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 193
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 194
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 195
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 196
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 197
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 198
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 199
Suggested Citation:"Appendix E: Report From Mr. Michael Dyment, Booz, Allen & Hamilton." National Research Council. 1995. The Global Positioning System: A Shared National Asset. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/4920.
×
Page 200
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The Global Positioning System (GPS) is a satellite-based navigation system that was originally designed for the U.S. military. However, the number of civilian GPS users now exceeds the military users, and many commercial markets have emerged. This book identifies technical improvements that would enhance military, civilian, and commercial use of the GPS. Several technical improvements are recommended that could be made to enhance the overall system performance.

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